Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. (2611.HK) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 16 pass, warnings: 3, red flags: 6.

About Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd.

Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. is a Financial Services company (Financial - Capital Markets) based in China, listed on HKSE as 2611.HK.

What our checks show for 2611.HK

Red flags

• The gross margin fell by 7.7 points, to 72.9%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 2% a year.
• The stock has fallen as much as 63% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• The share count grew by 74.1% in 2 years: each shareholder owns a smaller slice.
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 2.4%.

Warning signs

• The dividend takes 83% of profit: little cushion if profit falls.
• The stock is still below its previous peak.

Strengths

• The net margin rose by 5.3 points over 5 years, to 34%.
• Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 5 points from today's 34%.
• Revenue grew 34.6% a year over the last 3 years.
• Earnings per share grew 26.7% a year over the last 3 years.
• Net profit grew 48.5% a year over the last 3 years.
• The company keeps 34% of its revenue as net profit.

Next earnings report: 2026-10-30

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Questions

What grade does Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. (2611.HK) have?

In our weekly check, Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 16 pass, warnings: 3, red flags: 6. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of 2611.HK stock?

This week's biggest flags for Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd.: Gross margin falling, Weak revenue forecast, Deep past fall. In total 9 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. do?

Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. is a Financial Services company (Financial - Capital Markets) based in China, listed on HKSE as 2611.HK.

When does Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected on 2026-10-30. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-24

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