JFE Holdings, Inc. (5411.T) stock analysis
In our weekly check, JFE Holdings, Inc. is graded D (A to F). Of 24 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 11 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 7.
About JFE Holdings, Inc.
JFE Holdings, Inc. is a Basic Materials company (Steel) based in Japan, listed on JPX as 5411.T.
What our checks show for 5411.T
Red flags
- Net debt is 5.4x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 0.88). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
- The net margin fell by 4.5 points over 5 years, to 2.1%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 3.7 points, to 11.7%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Revenue fell 4.5% a year over the last 3 years.
- The net margin is only 2.1%: little room if costs rise.
- The stock has fallen as much as 93% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 2.3%.
Warning signs
- Operating profit covers interest only 3.3 times: a weak year could make the payments hard.
- Analysts expect only about 3.5% a year of growth in revenue.
- Earnings per share fell 19.2% a year over the last 3 years.
- Net profit fell 16.6% a year over the last 3 years.
- Free cash flow is only 1.3% of revenue.
- The stock is still below its previous peak.
Strengths
- Operating cash flow is 4.02x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 17.9% a year over the next years.
- The price is 12 times earnings (P/E), reasonable for its growth.
- Actively traded: about 6.3 million shares a day.
- Pay in shares is only 0% of free cash flow.
Next earnings report: 2026-11-06
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Questions
What grade does JFE Holdings, Inc. (5411.T) have?
In our weekly check, JFE Holdings, Inc. is graded D (A to F). Of 24 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 11 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 7. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of 5411.T stock?
This week's biggest flags for JFE Holdings, Inc.: High debt, Margins falling, Gross margin falling. In total 13 of 24 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does JFE Holdings, Inc. do?
JFE Holdings, Inc. is a Basic Materials company (Steel) based in Japan, listed on JPX as 5411.T.
When does JFE Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected on 2026-11-06. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-31
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