Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM-A) stock analysis
In our weekly check, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 9.
About Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is a Financial Services company (Financial - Credit Services) based in the United States, listed on NYSE as AGM-A.
What our checks show for AGM-A
Red flags
- The net margin fell by 14.1 points over 5 years, to 16.3%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 24.7 points, to 30.2%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 30.7% a year.
- The stock has fallen as much as 94% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Recovering from its deepest fall took about 3.9 years.
- Thinly traded (about 1 thousand shares a day): buying and selling can move the price.
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 1%.
Warning signs
- A small company (market value $1.85 billion): usually riskier and followed by fewer analysts.
Strengths
- Operating cash flow is 1.35x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 12.9% a year over the next years.
- Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 32.4 points from today's 16.3%.
- Revenue grew 22.9% a year over the last 3 years.
- Free cash flow is 22.1% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
- The dividend takes 41% of profit: there is a cushion.
Next earnings report: 2026-11-09
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Questions
What grade does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM-A) have?
In our weekly check, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 9. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of AGM-A stock?
This week's biggest flags for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation: Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Weak revenue forecast. In total 10 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation do?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is a Financial Services company (Financial - Credit Services) based in the United States, listed on NYSE as AGM-A.
When does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected on 2026-11-09. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-24
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