Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (ALSEA.MX) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 20 pass, warnings: 0, red flags: 5.

About Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is a Consumer Cyclical company (Restaurants) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as ALSEA.MX.

What our checks show for ALSEA.MX

Red flags

• Net debt is 2.5x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 5.41). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
• Operating profit covers interest only 1.7 times: a weak year could make the payments hard.
• The net margin is only 2.1%: little room if costs rise.
• The stock has fallen as much as 85% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• Recovering from its deepest fall took about 3.5 years.

Strengths

• The net margin rose by 0.8 points over 5 years, to 2.1%.
• Operating cash flow is 7.39x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
• Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 40.6% a year over the next years.
• Free cash flow is 10.9% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
• Beta 0.3: the stock usually moves less than the market.
• Pay in shares is only 0% of free cash flow.

Similar companies

YUM · CMG · 6862.HK · QSR · DRI · 6015.SR

Questions

What grade does Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (ALSEA.MX) have?

In our weekly check, Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 20 pass, warnings: 0, red flags: 5. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of ALSEA.MX stock?

This week's biggest flags for Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.: High debt, Weak interest cover, Thin margins. In total 5 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. do?

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is a Consumer Cyclical company (Restaurants) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as ALSEA.MX.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-31

Open the full analysis