Alupar Investimento S.A. (ALUP11.SA) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Alupar Investimento S.A. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 17 pass, warnings: 5, red flags: 3.

About Alupar Investimento S.A.

Alupar Investimento S.A. is an Utilities company (Renewable Utilities) based in Brazil, listed on SAO as ALUP11.SA.

What our checks show for ALUP11.SA

Red flags

• The gross margin fell by 7.4 points, to 65.9%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 1.8% a year.
• Analysts expect the net margin to shrink by 7.1 points from today's 27.7%.

Warning signs

• Net debt is 3.5x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 1.54). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
• Operating profit covers interest only 2.2 times: a weak year could make the payments hard.
• Analysts expect earnings per share to shrink about 1.3% a year.
• The stock has fallen as much as 47% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 9.3%.

Strengths

• The net margin rose by 6.4 points over 5 years, to 27.7%.
• Operating cash flow is 1.25x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
• Earnings per share grew 43.6% a year over the last 3 years.
• Net profit grew 14.7% a year over the last 3 years.
• The company keeps 27.7% of its revenue as net profit.
• Free cash flow is 26.2% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.

Next earnings report: 2026-11-05

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Questions

What grade does Alupar Investimento S.A. (ALUP11.SA) have?

In our weekly check, Alupar Investimento S.A. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 17 pass, warnings: 5, red flags: 3. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of ALUP11.SA stock?

This week's biggest flags for Alupar Investimento S.A.: Gross margin falling, Weak revenue forecast, Margins expected to shrink. In total 8 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Alupar Investimento S.A. do?

Alupar Investimento S.A. is an Utilities company (Renewable Utilities) based in Brazil, listed on SAO as ALUP11.SA.

When does Alupar Investimento S.A. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected on 2026-11-05. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-31

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