Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. (GCARSOA1.MX) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 12 pass, warnings: 12, red flags: 1.

About Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V.

Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. is an Industrials company (Conglomerates) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as GCARSOA1.MX.

What our checks show for GCARSOA1.MX

Red flags

• The net margin fell by 3.9 points over 5 years, to 5.2%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.

Warning signs

• The gross margin fell by 1.2 points, to 23.4%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Analysts expect the net margin to shrink by 1.1 points from today's 5.2%.
• Revenue grew only 2.4% a year over the last 3 years.
• Earnings per share fell 16.1% a year over the last 3 years.
• Net profit fell 19% a year over the last 3 years.
• The net margin is only 5.2%: little room if costs rise.
• The price is 32.6 times earnings (P/E): the market already pays for a lot of future growth.
• The price swings a lot: 36.1% annual volatility. Expect large ups and downs.
• The stock has fallen as much as 58% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• Recovering from its deepest fall took about 2.2 years.
• Thinly traded (about 332 thousand shares a day): buying and selling can move the price.
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 8.1%.

Strengths

• Net debt is only 1.1x a year of EBITDA: the balance sheet has room.
• Operating cash flow is 2.23x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
• The dividend takes 37% of profit: there is a cushion.
• A large company: market value $19.55 billion.
• Beta 0.52: the stock usually moves less than the market.
• The share count fell by 28.5% in 2 years: the company buys back its own shares.

Similar companies

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Questions

What grade does Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. (GCARSOA1.MX) have?

In our weekly check, Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 12 pass, warnings: 12, red flags: 1. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of GCARSOA1.MX stock?

This week's biggest flags for Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V.: Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Margins expected to shrink. In total 13 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. do?

Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. is an Industrials company (Conglomerates) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as GCARSOA1.MX.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-31

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