Holmen AB (publ) (HOLM-B.ST) stock analysis
In our weekly check, Holmen AB (publ) is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 14 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 5.
About Holmen AB (publ)
Holmen AB (publ) is a Basic Materials company (Paper, Lumber & Forest Products) based in Sweden, listed on STO as HOLM-B.ST.
What our checks show for HOLM-B.ST
Red flags
- The net margin fell by 5.5 points over 5 years, to 9.9%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 76.4 points, to -26%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Revenue fell 3.9% a year over the last 3 years.
- Recovering from its deepest fall took about 7.4 years.
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 2.5%.
Warning signs
- Analysts expect only about 2.9% a year of growth in revenue.
- Earnings per share fell 27.5% a year over the last 3 years.
- Net profit fell 29% a year over the last 3 years.
- The net margin is only 9.9%: little room if costs rise.
- The stock has fallen as much as 57% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Thinly traded (about 195 thousand shares a day): buying and selling can move the price.
Strengths
- Operating profit covers interest 10.5 times over.
- Operating cash flow is 1.75x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 11.5% a year over the next years.
- Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 2 points from today's 9.9%.
- Free cash flow is 11% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
- Beta 0.26: the stock usually moves less than the market.
Next earnings report: 2027-02-02
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Questions
What grade does Holmen AB (publ) (HOLM-B.ST) have?
In our weekly check, Holmen AB (publ) is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 14 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 5. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of HOLM-B.ST stock?
This week's biggest flags for Holmen AB (publ): Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Weak revenue growth. In total 11 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does Holmen AB (publ) do?
Holmen AB (publ) is a Basic Materials company (Paper, Lumber & Forest Products) based in Sweden, listed on STO as HOLM-B.ST.
When does Holmen AB (publ) report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected on 2027-02-02. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-11-07
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