Holcim Ltd (HOLN.SW) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Holcim Ltd is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 16 pass, warnings: 2, red flags: 7.

About Holcim Ltd

Holcim Ltd is a Basic Materials company (Construction Materials) based in Switzerland, listed on SIX as HOLN.SW.

What our checks show for HOLN.SW

Red flags

• The net margin fell by 6.1 points over 5 years, to 2.5%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
• Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 8% a year.
• Revenue fell 6.8% a year over the last 3 years.
• The net margin is only 2.5%: little room if costs rise.
• The dividend takes 242% of profit: little cushion if profit falls.
• The stock has fallen as much as 77% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• Recovering from its deepest fall took about 15.9 years.

Warning signs

• Earnings per share fell 42.2% a year over the last 3 years.
• Net profit fell 43.9% a year over the last 3 years.

Strengths

• Operating profit covers interest 11.8 times over.
• Operating cash flow is 7.72x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
• Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 80.4% a year over the next years.
• Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 11.4 points from today's 2.5%.
• Free cash flow is 11.8% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
• A large company: market value $44.77 billion.

Similar companies

VMC · SGO.PA · MLM · HEI.DE · CRH · AMRZ

Questions

What grade does Holcim Ltd (HOLN.SW) have?

In our weekly check, Holcim Ltd is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 16 pass, warnings: 2, red flags: 7. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of HOLN.SW stock?

This week's biggest flags for Holcim Ltd: Margins falling, Weak revenue forecast, Weak revenue growth. In total 9 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Holcim Ltd do?

Holcim Ltd is a Basic Materials company (Construction Materials) based in Switzerland, listed on SIX as HOLN.SW.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-24

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