NEPI Rockcastle N.V. (NRP.AS) stock analysis

In our weekly check, NEPI Rockcastle N.V. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 4.

About NEPI Rockcastle N.V.

NEPI Rockcastle N.V. is a Real Estate company (Real Estate - Development) based in the Netherlands, listed on AMS as NRP.AS.

What our checks show for NRP.AS

Red flags

• Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 4.5% a year.
• Analysts expect the net margin to shrink by 50.8 points from today's 54%.
• The stock has fallen as much as 78% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
• Thinly traded (about 2 thousand shares a day): buying and selling can move the price.

Warning signs

• Net debt is 3.8x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 0.66). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
• The gross margin fell by 1.7 points, to 66.2%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Analysts expect only about 0% a year of growth in earnings per share.
• Free cash flow covers the dividend only 0.7 times.
• The stock is still below its previous peak.
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 6.7%.

Strengths

• The net margin rose by 10.2 points over 5 years, to 54%.
• Revenue grew 15.1% a year over the last 3 years.
• The company keeps 54% of its revenue as net profit.
• Free cash flow is 26.7% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
• The price is 10.3 times earnings (P/E), reasonable for its growth.
• Beta 0.41: the stock usually moves less than the market.

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Questions

What grade does NEPI Rockcastle N.V. (NRP.AS) have?

In our weekly check, NEPI Rockcastle N.V. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 4. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of NRP.AS stock?

This week's biggest flags for NEPI Rockcastle N.V.: Weak revenue forecast, Margins expected to shrink, Deep past fall. In total 10 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does NEPI Rockcastle N.V. do?

NEPI Rockcastle N.V. is a Real Estate company (Real Estate - Development) based in the Netherlands, listed on AMS as NRP.AS.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-31

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