Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA.MX) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded D (A to F). Of 22 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 10 pass, warnings: 4, red flags: 8.

About Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.

Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. is a Basic Materials company (Chemicals) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as ORBIA.MX.

What our checks show for ORBIA.MX

Red flags

• Net debt is 4.3x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 2.59). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
• Operating profit covers interest only 1.4 times: a weak year could make the payments hard.
• The net margin fell by 9.2 points over 5 years, to -1.7%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
• The gross margin fell by 6.8 points, to 23.1%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Revenue fell 4.5% a year over the last 3 years.
• Earnings per share fell 37.5% a year over the last 3 years.
• The company is losing money: the net margin is -1.7%.
• The stock has fallen as much as 84% from a peak. Would you have held through that?

Warning signs

• Analysts expect only about 4.9% a year of growth in revenue.
• Free cash flow is only 2.1% of revenue.
• The stock is still below its previous peak.
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 7.3%.

Strengths

• Operating cash flow is 3.94x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
• Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 28.4% a year over the next years.
• Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 4.4 points from today's -1.7%.
• Actively traded: about 3.1 million shares a day.
• Pay in shares is only 0% of free cash flow.

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Questions

What grade does Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA.MX) have?

In our weekly check, Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. is graded D (A to F). Of 22 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 10 pass, warnings: 4, red flags: 8. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of ORBIA.MX stock?

This week's biggest flags for Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.: High debt, Weak interest cover, Margins falling. In total 12 of 22 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. do?

Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. is a Basic Materials company (Chemicals) based in Mexico, listed on MEX as ORBIA.MX.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-11-07

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