Telia Company AB (publ) (TELIA.ST) stock analysis
In our weekly check, Telia Company AB (publ) is graded C (A to F). Of 24 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 13 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 5.
About Telia Company AB (publ)
Telia Company AB (publ) is a Communication Services company (Telecommunications Services) based in Sweden, listed on STO as TELIA.ST.
What our checks show for TELIA.ST
Red flags
- The net margin fell by 6.9 points over 5 years, to 6.4%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 20.9 points, to 13.1%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Revenue fell 2.9% a year over the last 3 years.
- The dividend takes 150% of profit: little cushion if profit falls.
- The stock has fallen as much as 69% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
Warning signs
- Net debt is 2.9x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 1.62). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
- Analysts expect only about 2.3% a year of growth in revenue.
- Earnings per share fell 27.3% a year over the last 3 years.
- The net margin is only 6.4%: little room if costs rise.
- The stock is still below its previous peak.
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 6.7%.
Strengths
- Operating cash flow is 5.24x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 39.6% a year over the next years.
- Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 6.9 points from today's 6.4%.
- Free cash flow is 16.7% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
- A large company: market value $19.08 billion.
- Beta 0.23: the stock usually moves less than the market.
Similar companies
VZ · 7010.SR · TEL.OL · TMUS · 0788.HK · DTEGF
Questions
What grade does Telia Company AB (publ) (TELIA.ST) have?
In our weekly check, Telia Company AB (publ) is graded C (A to F). Of 24 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 13 pass, warnings: 6, red flags: 5. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of TELIA.ST stock?
This week's biggest flags for Telia Company AB (publ): Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Weak revenue growth. In total 11 of 24 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does Telia Company AB (publ) do?
Telia Company AB (publ) is a Communication Services company (Telecommunications Services) based in Sweden, listed on STO as TELIA.ST.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-24
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