Volkswagen AG (VLKAF) stock analysis
In our weekly check, Volkswagen AG is graded D (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 10 pass, warnings: 7, red flags: 8.
About Volkswagen AG
Volkswagen AG is a Consumer Cyclical company (Auto - Manufacturers) based in Germany, listed on OTC as VLKAF.
What our checks show for VLKAF
Red flags
- The net margin fell by 4.4 points over 5 years, to 1.7%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 2.5 points, to 16.4%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- The net margin is only 1.7%: little room if costs rise.
- Free cash flow is negative (-1.8% of revenue): the business spends more cash than it brings in.
- The stock has fallen as much as 93% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Thinly traded (about 1 thousand shares a day): buying and selling can move the price.
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 1.9%.
- Pay in shares equals 0% of free cash flow: it dilutes shareholders.
Warning signs
- Net debt is 3.6x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 1.06). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
- Analysts expect only about 1.2% a year of growth in revenue.
- Revenue grew only 4.9% a year over the last 3 years.
- Earnings per share fell 29.4% a year over the last 3 years.
- Net profit fell 28.6% a year over the last 3 years.
- The price swings a lot: 43.3% annual volatility. Expect large ups and downs.
- The stock is still below its previous peak.
Strengths
- Operating profit covers interest 16.9 times over.
- Operating cash flow is 3.13x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 38.9% a year over the next years.
- The price is 6.6 times earnings (P/E), reasonable for its growth.
- A large company: market value $38.21 billion.
Next earnings report: 2026-10-29
Similar companies
BMW.DE · MBGAF · HMC · F · DTG.DE · GM
Questions
What grade does Volkswagen AG (VLKAF) have?
In our weekly check, Volkswagen AG is graded D (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 10 pass, warnings: 7, red flags: 8. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of VLKAF stock?
This week's biggest flags for Volkswagen AG: Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Thin margins. In total 15 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does Volkswagen AG do?
Volkswagen AG is a Consumer Cyclical company (Auto - Manufacturers) based in Germany, listed on OTC as VLKAF.
When does Volkswagen AG report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected on 2026-10-29. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-24
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