BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.PA) stock analysis
In our weekly check, BNP Paribas S.A. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 17 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 7.
About BNP Paribas S.A.
BNP Paribas S.A. is a Financial Services company (Banks - Regional) based in France, listed on PAR as BNP.PA.
What our checks show for BNP.PA
Red flags
- The gross margin fell by 25.2 points, to 63%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 25.3% a year.
- The stock has fallen as much as 77% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Recovering from its deepest fall took about 17 years.
- Return on capital (ROCE) is only 0.7%.
Warning signs
- The net margin is only 8.5%: little room if costs rise.
Strengths
- Operating cash flow is 3.81x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 13.1% a year over the next years.
- Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 17.6 points from today's 8.5%.
- Earnings per share grew 11% a year over the last 3 years.
- Free cash flow is 30.3% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.
- The dividend takes 21% of profit: there is a cushion.
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Questions
What grade does BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.PA) have?
In our weekly check, BNP Paribas S.A. is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 17 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 7. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of BNP.PA stock?
This week's biggest flags for BNP Paribas S.A.: Gross margin falling, Weak revenue forecast, Deep past fall. In total 8 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does BNP Paribas S.A. do?
BNP Paribas S.A. is a Financial Services company (Banks - Regional) based in France, listed on PAR as BNP.PA.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-24
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