Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE) stock analysis
In our weekly check, Deutsche Post AG is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 4, red flags: 6.
About Deutsche Post AG
Deutsche Post AG is an Industrials company (Integrated Freight & Logistics) based in Germany, listed on XETRA as DHL.DE.
What our checks show for DHL.DE
Red flags
- The net margin fell by 1.8 points over 5 years, to 4.4%: the company keeps less of each sale as profit.
- The gross margin fell by 1.4 points, to 11.5%: costs are rising faster than prices.
- Revenue fell 3.4% a year over the last 3 years.
- The net margin is only 4.4%: little room if costs rise.
- The stock has fallen as much as 74% from a peak. Would you have held through that?
- Recovering from its deepest fall took about 4.7 years.
Warning signs
- Net debt is 2x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 1.26). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
- Analysts expect only about 4.3% a year of growth in revenue.
- Earnings per share fell 9% a year over the last 3 years.
- Net profit fell 11.4% a year over the last 3 years.
Strengths
- Operating cash flow is 2.43x net profit: the profit arrives as real cash.
- Analysts expect earnings per share to grow about 10.1% a year over the next years.
- A large company: market value $71.2 billion.
- Pay in shares is only 0% of free cash flow.
Next earnings report: 2026-11-05
Similar companies
FDX · UPS · PST.MI · KNIN.SW · EXPD · JBHT
Questions
What grade does Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE) have?
In our weekly check, Deutsche Post AG is graded C (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 15 pass, warnings: 4, red flags: 6. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.
What are the main risks of DHL.DE stock?
This week's biggest flags for Deutsche Post AG: Margins falling, Gross margin falling, Weak revenue growth. In total 10 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.
What does Deutsche Post AG do?
Deutsche Post AG is an Industrials company (Integrated Freight & Logistics) based in Germany, listed on XETRA as DHL.DE.
When does Deutsche Post AG report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected on 2026-11-05. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.
The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.
Updated 2026-10-24
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