Poste Italiane S.p.A. (PST.MI) stock analysis

In our weekly check, Poste Italiane S.p.A. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 19 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 5.

About Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Poste Italiane S.p.A. is an Industrials company (Conglomerates) based in Italy, listed on MIL as PST.MI.

What our checks show for PST.MI

Red flags

• Net debt is 20.5x a year of EBITDA (debt/equity 7.36). That limits room in a downturn and raises refinancing risk.
• The gross margin fell by 3.5 points, to 22.7%: costs are rising faster than prices.
• Analysts expect revenue to shrink about 6.3% a year.
• Revenue fell 18.4% a year over the last 3 years.
• Return on capital (ROCE) is only 1.7%.

Warning signs

• The stock has fallen as much as 47% from a peak. Would you have held through that?

Strengths

• Operating profit covers interest 14.8 times over.
• The net margin rose by 8.9 points over 5 years, to 13.9%.
• Analysts expect the net margin to improve by 4.9 points from today's 13.9%.
• Earnings per share grew 16.8% a year over the last 3 years.
• Net profit grew 15% a year over the last 3 years.
• Free cash flow is 11.8% of revenue: cash for dividends, buybacks or growth.

Next earnings report: 2026-11-12

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Questions

What grade does Poste Italiane S.p.A. (PST.MI) have?

In our weekly check, Poste Italiane S.p.A. is graded B (A to F). Of 25 checks on debt, profit, cash flow and trend: 19 pass, warnings: 1, red flags: 5. The grade is a risk check, not a buy or sell recommendation.

What are the main risks of PST.MI stock?

This week's biggest flags for Poste Italiane S.p.A.: High debt, Gross margin falling, Weak revenue forecast. In total 6 of 25 checks show a warning or a red flag.

What does Poste Italiane S.p.A. do?

Poste Italiane S.p.A. is an Industrials company (Conglomerates) based in Italy, listed on MIL as PST.MI.

When does Poste Italiane S.p.A. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected on 2026-11-12. We re-run the checks every week, so the grade can change after it.

The grade is a risk check, not a price forecast, and not investment advice. In our 10-year test (S&P 500, 2016-2026), stocks we graded A or B fell more than 30% 2-3 times less often than D or F, without a lower average return.

Updated 2026-10-24

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